Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 8.007130 9.016311 10.216400 11.783782 13.834871 16.522497 20.499127
2024-12-15 7.594739 9.111910 11.156417 14.297428 19.439960 28.715459 51.933306
2024-12-22 6.663763 8.323208 10.754320 14.972047 23.383316 45.242539 210.362311
2024-12-29 6.259964 8.175144 11.266571 17.543456 34.591834 145.412184 NaN
2025-01-05 5.814091 7.875890 11.494077 20.054314 54.439943 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 5.220268 7.224133 10.923190 20.616500 75.750870 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 4.673187 6.558032 10.157355 20.306264 100.134730 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 4.544868 6.604330 10.897213 25.846664 1261.465567 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 4.593048 6.998943 12.693256 41.824286 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 4.443346 6.978278 13.517538 60.872498 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 4.240382 6.806154 13.870405 86.159406 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 4.011059 6.533444 13.801795 115.682678 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 3.732288 6.151703 13.390575 155.535442 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 3.560753 5.992606 13.785360 446.127785 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 3.243563 5.432208 12.331952 285.916830 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 3.076000 5.213973 12.233364 847.053571 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.904514 4.959312 11.877303 9261.488775 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.692915 4.577075 10.821208 1216.355381 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.493736 4.207376 9.745229 391.320760 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.431955 4.172607 10.133050 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.431220 4.293981 11.382212 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.368524 4.242312 11.767136 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.289698 4.134858 11.788863 NaN NaN NaN NaN